Comparative Spatial Dynamics of Childhood Infections

Pejman Rohani

The ecological importance of spatial structure has been recognised for decades, with numerous studies showing how persistence and synchrony in both natural and theoretical populations can be influenced by dispersal. In this talk, I will focus on the role of nonlinearity, stochasticity and space in determining the (meta)population dynamics of whooping cough and measles. Using a stochastic spatial model, I will present qualitative conclusions on the mechanisms responsible for the spread of infection and their persistence characteristics. These results will then be contrasted with long-term case reports in England and Wales.

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